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the developing world. Should
remittances trail off there
will be serious developmental
consequences.
Marcelo M. Suárez-Orozco
For most of the last three decades,
developing countries around the world have reaped
a huge indirect benefit from the expanding global
economy simply by exporting labor. According to
official figures, migrant workers poured an estimated $283 billion back into their homelands in
the form of remittances to relatives in 2008 alone,
though the unofficial number is probably closer to
$350 billion. That’s more than three times the combined aid provided last year by industrial countries
to the developing world.
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But the global economic crisis may now seriously
jeopardize those windfall earnings.
There is already evidence that undocumented labor
flows across borders have begun to slow, particularly
to the United States. The Pew Hispanic Center suggests
that “inflows of unauthorized immigrants” have fallen
from an average of 800,000 a year between 2000 and
2004 to 500,000 annually between 2005 to 2008. These
flows continue to be on a downward trend.
Studies suggest that the slipping economy, rather
than government attempts to control borders, is the